No new polls were published this week; the average stands on polls through 2026-06-05. British Columbia's headline is a flat-out tie at the top: the BC Conservatives and BC NDP are locked together at 42.0% each, with nothing separating them in the rolling average. Behind that deadlock the field thins out fast — the BC Greens hold 9.0% and OneBC sits at 2.0%, well back of the two front-runners. With no fresh polling in the past seven days, the standings hold steady and there is no new movement to report; the story is simply how tightly the top two are bound together.

The recent field splits on exactly how close that top-tier really is. The June polls point in different directions: Research Co. has the Conservatives and NDP level at 42 apiece, while Léger puts the Conservatives four points clear at 45 and reads them higher than any other recent firm. Rewind to the spring and the order inverts — both Mainstreet surveys had the NDP ahead of the Conservatives, and the April Mainstreet poll stands apart from the whole set, with the Greens up at 16 and OneBC at 11, both far above where they land now. That spread on the smaller parties is where the firms diverge most sharply: the Greens range from single digits in June to the mid-teens in April, and OneBC swings from double digits down to low single figures in the latest read.

So the honest read is a genuine coin-flip at the top, with the average's tie carrying more weight than either single June number given how the two firms disagree on the size of any Conservative edge. The Greens' current single-digit share sits below their spring footing, though the sparse and dated Green sampling across these polls leaves a wide plausible band. The caveat is worth stating plainly: only two polls anchor the present picture, they split on whether the Conservatives lead at all, and the April Mainstreet result is a clear outlier tugging on the longer series. The firms genuinely disagree on how far apart the front two stand — which is exactly why a dead heat is the fair call.