The Parti Québécois leads in Québec provincial polling at 30 per cent, holding a modest two-point edge over the Liberals at 28 per cent. The Coalition Avenir Québec sits at 22 per cent, with Québec Solidaire trailing at 15 per cent.

Momentum is essentially flat across the board this week. The PQ, Liberals, and CAQ have shown no movement in the rolling average, while QS has slipped a fraction of a point. There is no meaningful directional shift to report.

With the PQ and Liberals separated by just two points, the race is effectively a dead heat at the top. A swing of that size falls well within any typical polling margin of error, meaning either party could realistically claim the plurality come election day. The CAQ's position at 22 per cent suggests the governing party continues to face significant headwinds since its 2022 majority, while QS appears to have stabilised in the mid-teens.

Only one complete poll is available in the dataset, which limits confidence in the rolling averages. These figures should be treated as a directional snapshot rather than a firm read on the race.