Alberta Rolling Average
Limited recent polling — most recent poll May 19, 2026. Interpret with caution.
UCP
46.0%
UCP +4.0 pts
Alberta NDP
42.0%
UCP
▼ -0.8
ABNDP
▲ +1.2
| Party | Support % | 7-day change |
|---|---|---|
| UCP | 46.0% | -0.8 |
| Alberta NDP | 42.0% | +1.2 |
Analysis
Alberta remains the tightest provincial race. The UCP clings to a 4-point lead but the trend is against Danielle Smith. 35% support independence, down from 2024 peaks.
Latest poll: —
Voter Priorities
Alberta Independence
as of Feb 25, 2026 · n=1,000 · ±3.1pp · Abacus Data
“Do you agree or disagree that the province of Alberta shall become a sovereign country and cease to be a province in Canada?”
Support
26.0%
Oppose
64.0%
Undecided
9.0%
| Support | Oppose | Undecided |
|---|---|---|
| 26.0% | 64.0% | 9.0% |
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© MaplePolls 2026 — Data from Canadian pollsters
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