Federal Rolling Average
Liberal
45.3%
GAP 11.1
Conservative
34.2%
LPC
45.3%
+0.8
CPC
34.2%
-0.5
NDP
9.2%
+0.4
BQ
6.1%
-0.1
GPC
3.2%
+0.2
30-Day Trend
| Party | Support % | 7-day change |
|---|---|---|
| Liberal | 45.3% | +0.8 |
| Conservative | 34.2% | -0.5 |
| NDP | 9.2% | +0.4 |
| Bloc Québécois | 6.1% | -0.1 |
| Green | 3.2% | +0.2 |
Latest poll: —
Analysis
The Liberals hold a commanding 11-point lead over the Conservatives, with PM Carney at 56% approval. This is majority territory and the gap has been stable since the spring.
The NDP under Avi Lewis has settled into single digits at ~9%. That is survival mode, not kingmaker territory. Lewis needs a distinct lane fast.
Affordability remains the top concern. Canada-US relations and tariff anxiety sit close behind, giving the Conservatives their strongest attack line, but Carney has insulated the Liberals so far.
Leader Approval — 90 Day
NDP Leader
Lewis
30%
Prime Minister
Carney
58%
Opposition Leader
Poilievre
37.2%
| Leader | Approval % |
|---|---|
| Avi Lewis | 30% |
| Mark Carney | 58% |
| Pierre Poilievre | 37.2% |
Regional Support — Federal
Loading map…
| Code | Province | Region | Leader |
|---|
Voter Priorities
undecided6%
SovereigntyNational
Alberta Separation
29%for
65%against
“Do you support Alberta pursuing greater autonomy or independence from the federal government?”
Source: Angus Reid| Support | Oppose | Undecided |
|---|---|---|
| 29% | 65% | 6% |
undecided10%
AffordabilityNational
Housing Crisis
18%for
72%against
“Do you believe the federal government is doing enough to address the housing affordability crisis?”
Source: Abacus Data| Support | Oppose | Undecided |
|---|---|---|
| 18% | 72% | 10% |
undecided12%
US RelationsNational
Tariff Response
58%for
30%against
“Do you support Canada imposing retaliatory tariffs on American goods?”
Source: Léger| Support | Oppose | Undecided |
|---|---|---|
| 58% | 30% | 12% |
Recent Polls — Federal
Political News — Canada and US
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Reuters
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iPolitics
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The Conservative leader unveiled a new campaign-style tour focused on federal spending…
Reuters
Reuters11h ago
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Several swing-state candidates are running on renegotiating USMCA terms with Ottawa…
AP News
AP News12h ago
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A senior administration official confirmed the 15% levy could take effect as early as July…
CBC News
CBC News14h ago
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© MaplePolls 2026 — Data from Canadian pollsters
Not affiliated with any political party
Not affiliated with any political party